Voronezh, Voronezh, Russian Federation
Voronezh, Voronezh, Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Moskva, Moscow, Russian Federation
The article discusses the problem of optimal planning using mean values and variances, which implements the principle of stochastic planning, in which a certain (final) plan is formed by the beginning of the planning period, and then only a probable (preliminary) plan. A decomposition analysis of this problem is presented to identify algorithms for the functioning of a system of models of definite probabilistic planning. As an approximate method for solving the problem, a coordination mechanism with intervals is proposed.
task, complex system, model, probabilistic parameters of the project, project, coordination mechanism
1. Ivanovskiy A.G. Princip nesimmetrichnoy korrektirovki v organi-zacionnyh sistemah. //VIII Vsesoyuznoe soveschanie po problemam upravleniya. Spisok dokladov. Tallin: Institut problem upravleniya, - Gosplan ESSR, 1980.
2. V.E. Belousov. Algoritm poiska bazovogo kriteriya pri proektirova-nii slozhnyh tehnicheskih sistem [Tekst] / V.E. Belousov, A.L. Mailyan //Nauchnyy zhurnal «Stroitel'stvo i arhitektura» Izd-vo Centr RIOR, Moskva, 2019. - T.7 (1). - S.61-65.
3. Z.B. Tutarishev. Mehanizmy sovmestnogo planirovaniya i reguliro-vaniya v slozhnyh sistemah upravleniya [Tekst] / Belousov V.E., Tutarishev Z.B., Hodunov A.M.//Nauchnyy zhurnal «Proektnoe upravlenie v stroitel'-stve» Izd-vo VGTU, Voronezh, 2020. - №1 (18). - S.69-758.
4. Belousov V.E. Algoritmy formirovaniya i planirovaniya processa realizacii portfelya vzaimosvyazannyh proektov / Belousov V.E., Morozov V.P., Nikitin I.S. //Matematicheskie modeli sovremennyh ekonomicheskih processov, metody analiza ierarhiy i sinteza ekonomicheskih mehanizmov: [sb. st.] XIII Vseros. nauch.-prakt. konf. / In-t problem upr. im. V.A. Trapez-nikova Ros. Akad. Nauk, Samar. nac. issled. un-t im. S. P. Koroleva; gl. red. D. A. Novikov - Samara: Izd-vo SamNC RAN, 2020. - S. 25-30.